Technical
analysis is a blend of many approaches. Each approach
adds something to the analyst's knowledge of the market.
Technical analysis is much like putting together a giant
jigsaw puzzle. Each technical tool holds a piece of the
puzzle. Market analysis is to combine as
many techniques as possible. Each works better in
certain market situations. The key is knowing which
tools to emphasize in the current situation. That comes
with knowledge and experience.
All
of these approaches overlap to some extent and
complement one another. The day the user sees these
interrelationships, and is able to view technical
analysis as the sum of its parts, is the day that person
deserves the title of technical analyst.
Japanese Candlesticks
Japanese
candlestick charting and candle pattern analysis are
essential tools for making market timing decisions.
One
should use Japanese candle patterns in the same manner
as any other technical tool or technique; that is, to
study the psychology of market participants. Once you
become used to seeing your price charts using
candlesticks, you may not want to use bar charts again.
Japanese candle patterns, used in conjunction with other
technical indicators in the filtering concept, will
almost always offer a trading signal prior to using
other price-based indicators
Elliott Wave Theory
In
1938, a monograph entitled The Wave Principle was the
first published reference to what has come to be known
as the Elliott Wave Principle.
The monograph was
published by Charles
J.
Collins and
was based on the original work presented to him by the
founder of the Wave Principle, Ralph Nelson (R.N.)
Elliott.
Elliott
was very much influenced by the Dow Theory, which has
much in common with the Wave Principle. In a 1934 letter
to Collins, Elliott mentioned that he had been a
subscriber to Robert Rhea's stock market service and was
familiar with Rhea's Dow Theory. Elliott goes on
to say that the Wave Principle was "a much needed
complement to the Dow Theory."
In
1946, just two years before his death, Elliott wrote his
definitive work on the Wave Principle, Nature's Law-The
Secret of the Universe.
Elliott's
ideas might have faded from memory if A. Hamilton Bolton
hadn't decided in 1953 to publish the Elliott Wave
Supplement to the Bank Credit Analyst, which he did
annually for 14
years, until his death in 1967. A.J. Frost took over the
Elliott Supplements and collaborated with Robert
Prechter in 1978 on the Elliott Wave Principle.
Inter-market Analysis
It discusses the ripple
effect that flows from the dollar to commodities to
bonds to stocks. Inter-market work also recognizes the
existence of global linkages.
What happens in Asia,
Europe, and Latin America has an impact on U.S. markets
and vice versa. Inter-market analysis sheds light on
sector rotation within the stock market. Relative
strength analysis is helpful for seeking out asset
classes, market sectors, or individual stocks that are
likely to outperform the general market. Leading Indicators for the 1990s, Dr. Geoffrey Moore
shows how the interaction between commodity prices, bond
prices, and stock prices follows a sequential pattern
that tracks the business cycle. Dr. Moore substantiates
the inter-market rotation within the three asset
classes, and argues for their use in economic
forecasting.
In
doing so, Dr. Moore elevates inter-market work and
technical analysis in general into the realm of economic
forecasting. Finally, technical analysis can be applied
to mutual funds like any other market (with some minor
modifications). That being the case, all of the
techniques discussed can be applied right
on the mutual fund charts themselves. Even better, the
lower degree of volatility in mutual fund charts make
them excellent vehicles for chart analysis. The Visual Investor, deals more extensively with
the subject of sector analysis and trading, and shows
how mutual funds can be charted and then used to
implement various trading strategies.
Point
and Figure Charting
Point and figure charting isn't the
oldest technique in the world.
That
credit goes to the Japanese candlestick chart, which has been used
in that country for centuries. Greg Morris introduce that ancient
technique that has gained new popularity in recent years among
Western technical analysts